BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF FACTORS INFLUENCING INTENTION NOT TO USE CONTRACEPTIVES AMONG WOMEN IN REPRODUCTIVE AGE IN JIGJIGA CITY, SOMALI REGION ETHIOPIA

Abstract

Contraception is the prevention of conception intentional through various tools, sexual practices, chemicals, drugs, or surgical procedure. Any kind of tool or actions whose purpose is to prevent a woman from becoming pregnant can be considered contraception. The main objective of this study was to identify factors influencing intention not to use contraceptives among Women in Reproductive Age in Jigjiga City, Somali Region Ethiopia, Bayesian logistic regression approaches were used to meet the objective. The study used primary data which was collected from sampled respondents across the four subcities of Somali regional state capital Jigjiga. Among married women who were in reproductive age (15 – 49) in Jigjiga city, a sample of 352 was taken for this study. Out of the 352 married women in reproductive age, 21 % (74) were contraceptive user, and 79 %( 278) were non-users at the time of the data collection. Similarly, among non users, that is 278, about 199(71.6%) had intention not to use modern contraceptive method. Study found that significant association between intention on contraceptive method and the socio-economic and demographic variables: Religion, Living Son(s), Desire to have more children, women’s Education Level, Information about Family planning, Known Family planning methods, Past Experience on contraceptives and Access to Family Planning Service.Bayesian logistic regression procedure were used to make inference, the result of the model parameters, and the model revealed that Protestants (RELIG2) significantly lower odds of intending not to use contraceptives (OR=0.23, 95% CrI: 0.06-0.58), Orthodox Christians (RELIG3) show no statistically significant difference (OR=0.73, 95% CrI:0.30-1.83). The results also show that women who have no desire (DRCH2) for more children have a 91% lower odd of intending not to use contraceptives than the reference (has desire). The result also showed that the odds of not intending to use contraceptive was 4.18 times higher for women who had no past experience than their counter parts. By addressing religious, informational, and behavioral barriers, policymakers and health providers can significantly improve contraceptive uptake and maternal health outcomes